ICAEW / Grant Thornton UK Business Confidence Monitor (BCM)

Quarter one 2012

Businesses plan to cut back on capital investment in response to growing concerns about the economic outlook. With the Confidence Index pointing to a double-dip recession, the report gives little comfort to government as it seeks to drive growth in the UK economy.

Key findings from Q1 2012 report include:

  • Business investment is important for future growth however firms are reining in plans for capital investment
  • Job creation plans remain subdued, though SMEs are more likely than larger companies to take on people in the next 12 months
  • Nearly a fifth of businesses (19%) have above normal stock levels probably due to a lack of customer demand and over half of businesses are operating below capacity
  • The BCM Confidence Index has steadied from -9.7 in Q4 2011 to -9.3. This compares to +8.1 in Q3 2011 and shows the massive fall in confidence that businesses experienced over the last six months
  • Salary expectations for 2012 are depressed with businesses predicting modest increases of up to 2% - more unwelcome news for the squeezed consumer

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Further information

For further information on special reports please contact Svetlana Dimitrijevic, Strategic Research

For further information on BCM please contact Ruth Betts, Strategic Research.

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