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Exit from recession a racing certainty following February GDP uptick, ICAEW says

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Published: 12 Apr 2024

Responding to the latest UK GDP figures for February 2024, released by the Office for National Statistics today (Friday 12 April 2024), Suren Thiru, Economics Director at ICAEW, said:
Responding to the latest UK GDP figures for February 2024, released by the Office for National Statistics today (Friday 12 April 2024), Suren Thiru, Economics Director at ICAEW, said:

“February’s uptick in GDP suggests that the UK economy is gaining some momentum from the boost to people’s incomes and confidence from falling inflation.

“It’s a racing certainty that the UK exited recession in the first quarter with output likely to have picked up further in March, particularly with the earlier Easter holiday lifting activity in key sectors, including retail.

“While recession concerns are disappearing into the rear-view mirror, the longer-term outlook is still difficult, with the lagged impact of earlier interest rate hikes and chronic supply side constraints likely to continue limiting the UK’s growth potential.

“This GDP increase may give those rate setters still concerned about persistent price pressures sufficient reassurance on the economy to keep interest rates higher for longer than many expect.”

ENDS

Notes to editors:

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