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Inflation

A closer look at the impact of inflation on people, businesses, accountancy and the wider economy, bringing together the best expert opinion, data and analysis from ICAEW and its members.

Library resource

Retail Prices Index (RPI) and Consumer Prices Index (CPI)

In our in-depth guide to the Retail Prices Index (RPI), the Consumer Prices Index (CPI), and the Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers' housing costs (CPIH), we set out a range of sources for current and historical UK price indices data.
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Latest

Press release
25 Mar 2026
Likelihood of rate rises overstated despite looming inflation surge

Responding to the UK inflation figures for February 2026, Suren Thiru, ICAEW Chief Economist, said: “February’s unchanged inflation is a false flag for the economy as these figures pre-date the eyewatering energy shock induced by the Middle East conflict."

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Press release
30 Apr 2026
Future rate decisions more fraught

Suren Thiru, ICAEW Chief Economist, said that future rate decisions were more fraught as BoE’s forecasts highlight UK’s critical stagflation risk.

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Article
19 Feb 2026
Spring rate cut almost assured as inflation drops

With the Office for National Statistics (ONS) announcing that UK inflation fell to 3% in the year to January 2026, ICAEW’s Economics Director Suren Thiru says a spring interest rate cut is now almost a given.

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Article
19 Feb 2025
March rate cut improbable following disheartening inflation rebound

Suren Thiru, Economics Director at ICAEW, responded to the latest UK inflation figures for January 2025, released by the Office for National Statistics on Wednesday 19 February 2025.

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Article
15 Jan 2025
Surprise inflation fall in December

Suren Thiru, ICAEW's Economics Director, says surprise inflation fall In December makes February interest rate cut more likely.

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Article
2 Jul 2024
Inflation target hit, but economy stalls

UK inflation finally returns to target, but the economy flatlines as UK GDP was dampened by severe weather throughout April.

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Article
13 Jun 2023
How does high inflation impact savings and pensions?

Inflation is finally starting to come down in the UK, but not as fast as hoped. That isn’t great news for pensions – but neither is it a complete disaster.

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Article
24 May 2023
Inflation turns corner and could force interest rate rethink

Official data reveals that UK inflation moved back into single digits in April, but food inflation remains near record high.

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Article
20 Apr 2023
Easing inflation may force interest rate voting split

Official data reveals that UK inflation remains in double digits, despite slowing in March. The slowdown in March was mainly driven by the continued fall in fuel prices. However, this was largely offset by rising food prices.

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Article
22 Mar 2023
Surprise inflation rise causes interest rate headache

Official data reveals that UK inflation rose for the first time in six months in February amid vegetable shortages, leaving the Bank of England with a tough decision on interest rates.

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Article
18 Jan 2023
Slowing inflation not easing the cost of living crisis

Official data reveals that UK inflation slowed for the second successive month in December as fuel prices continued to fall.

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Article
14 Dec 2022
Painful deceleration on the way as inflation slows

Official data from the Office for National Statistics reveals that UK inflation slowed slightly to 10.7% in November, but still the second highest rate since August 1980.

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Guide
8 Dec 2022
How high inflation impacts accounting

Guidance from ICAEW’s Corporate Reporting Faculty explores the impact of high inflation on accounting and considers the financial reporting implications and related uncertainties that entities will need to think about.

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Article
07 Oct 2022
How can hospitality companies tough out inflation?

As research shows that two-thirds of the UK’s Top 100 restaurant businesses are losing money, we look at what hospitality companies can do to survive rising inflation.

Article
28 Sep 2022
An inflated sense of worth: what inflation means for savers

A fall in headline inflation to 9.9% in August down slightly from 10.1% in July is likely to be a transient moment of calm in a continuing storm. So what does rising inflation mean for pension savers and other investors?

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Article
14 Sep 2022
August’s dip in inflation a ‘temporary distortion’, says ICAEW

Latest official estimate revealed that UK inflation slowed to 9.9% in August, amid strong base effects and lower fuel prices.

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Article
26 Jul 2022
Auditing with inflation on the rise

Inflation has only been above 3% twice in the last 30 years. Auditors will need to understand the impacts. We outline some of the key areas of the audit that may be affected by inflation.

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Article
20 Jul 2022
UK inflation reaches new 40-year high

Latest official GDP estimate revealed UK inflation UK inflation rose for ninth month in a row in June, amid higher petrol and food prices.

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Podcast
18 Jul 2022
Recession? What recession? Time for business to stop worrying and start investing

Iain Wright, ICAEW’s Managing Director, Reputation and Influence is joined by Kitty Ussher, Chief Economist at the Institute of Directors, and Suren Thiru, ICAEW’s Director, Economies.

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Podcast
14 Jul 2022
The pain – and potential gains – of rising inflation

On this ICAEW Insights podcast episode, we speak to Martin Wheatcroft about rising inflation and what that means for businesses, plus capital allowances reforms.

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Article
14 Jul 2022
Stronger-than-expected growth masks growing challenges

Latest official GDP estimate confirms that the UK economy rebounded in May after shrinking in April, as GP appointments boost the headline figure.

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Article
Snapshot of a chart 27 Jun 2022
Five strategies to weather the inflation storm

ICAEW Manufacturing Community member Katy Davies runs through her five-point plan to help bolster businesses against a backdrop of rising inflation.

Insight from firms

Article
One of Mazars' offices
Mazars: deflation is dependent on multiple global economies

From ending war to kickstarting manufacturing, George Lagarias, Chief Economist at Mazars, examines how global markets have dealt with inflation during the 20th century, adding what we can learn from their experience.

Article
Downtown Perth, featuring one of RSM's office buildings
RSM: inflation spike harks back to post-war peak

ICAEW’s graphic highlights similarities between post-pandemic and post-Second World War inflation, say Thomas Pugh and Simon Hart from RSM, who explain what businesses should be doing to mitigate the effects.

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Charts and tables

Chart
chart11may 11 May 2023
Chart of the week: Food prices

An inflation rate of 10.1% in the year to March 2023 conceals a huge variation in individual price rises, as illustrated by this week’s chart on food prices.

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Chart
chart16feb 17 Feb 2023
Chart of the week: Slowing inflation

This chart illustrates the slowing rate of inflation and how it should fall further once a big surge in prices between February and April 2022 falls out of the comparison.

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More economic insight

ICAEW works with Oxford Economics to provide useful insight and timely intelligence for finance professionals and their clients.

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