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Christmas rate cut nailed on following off-colour October for the economy, ICAEW says

Author: ICAEW

Published: 12 Dec 2025

Responding to the latest UK GDP figures for October 2025, released by the Office for National Statistics today (Friday 12 December 2025), Suren Thiru, ICAEW Economics Director, said:

“These figures confirm an off-colour October for the economy, with pre-Budget worries paralysing activity across key sectors, despite a boost to manufacturing from Jaguar Land Rover’s return to production.

“This dismal outturn may have been followed by a similarly turbulent November with the damage to business and consumer confidence from the frenzied speculation ahead of the Budget likely to have frozen wider economic activity.

“The aftereffects from the Budget may mean that the UK’s economic prospects are poorer over the near term, with the growing tax burden and a weakening jobs market likely to keep growth notably lower than the OBR expects.

“With these downbeat figures likely to further fuel fears among rate-setters over the health of the UK economy, a December policy loosening looks nailed on, particularly given the likely deflationary impact of the Budget.”

ENDS

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* includes parent companies. Source: ICAEW member data March 2025, Interbrand, Best Global Brands 2024.

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