“These figures underscore the intensifying financial squeeze on households and businesses as a summer holiday spike in food and flight costs helped push inflation uncomfortably higher, despite July’s drop in energy bills.
“Increasing services inflation suggests that rising National Insurance and National Living Wage costs are exacerbating underlying price pressures by more than offsetting the current downward squeeze from looser labour market conditions.
“While spiralling business costs and food prices may mean that inflation peaks higher than the Bank of England’s prediction of 4%, it should start decelerating in the autumn as a weaker economy increasingly bears down on prices.
“July’s outturn probably extinguishes hope of a September interest rate cut, while strengthening underlying inflationary pressures calls into question whether policymakers will be able to relax policy again this year.”
ENDS
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