“October’s slowdown is the start of a winter inflation wind-down with lower food and fuel costs likely to pull the headline rate below 3% early next year, despite persistent pricing pressures from elevated employment costs.
“The Budget is a double-edged sword for inflation as while tax rises can be deflationary by dampening demand in the economy, the upward pressure from any rise in business costs risks giving inflation a second wind.
“Though the conditions for a December interest rate cut are falling into place, the Budget is a last obstacle as rate-setters will want to gauge the effect of the policies announced before authorising another rate reduction.”
ENDS
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About ICAEW
Chartered accountants are talented, ethical and committed professionals. ICAEW represents more than 210,000 members and students around the world. 98 of the top 100 global brands employ ICAEW Chartered Accountants.* 87% of FTSE 100 companies, and 81% of FTSE 250 companies in the UK, have an ICAEW member on their board.
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* includes parent companies. Source: ICAEW member data March 2025, Interbrand, Best Global Brands 2024.