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8. Probability

Predicting player performance

Pupils use probability to analyse sports statistics.

Scenario

Pupils are given statistics relating to professional footballers. Pupils will work through a series of probability questions to identify the likelihood of certain events taking place in upcoming games.

Curriculum references

National Curriculum 2 Apply ideas of randomness, fairness and equally likely events to calculate expected outcomes of multiple future experiments.
National Curriculum 8

Calculate the probability of independent and dependent combined events, including using tree diagrams and other representations, and know the underlying assumptions.

OCR 11.01d Calculate probabilities, expressed as fractions or decimals, in simple experiments with equally likely outcomes, for example flipping coins, rolling dice, etc. Apply ideas of randomness and fairness in simple experiments. Calculate probabilities of simple combined events, for example rolling two dice and looking at the totals. Use probabilities to calculate the number of expected outcomes in repeated experiments.
AQA P2

 Apply ideas of randomness, fairness and equally likely events to calculate expected outcomes of multiple future experiments.

Edexcel P2  Apply ideas of randomness, fairness and equally likely events to calculate expected outcomes of multiple future experiments.
Learning resources

Download the module question and answer sheets.

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